The Future of Passive Tags - RFID Remains Dominant Within 5 Years, A-IoT as Supplement

Publication Date: May 2026
Word Count: Approximately 5,500 words (refined edition)
Target Audience: Enterprise executives, supply chain decision-makers, IoT product managers, investment analysts


Part One: RFID’s Current Empire

Data Speaks: Market Still Growing

First, let’s look at market size. RFID is not in decline—it’s growing rapidly:

Global RFID Market (2024-2030) | Year | Market Size | Growth Rate | |——|————-|————-| | 2024 | $20.1B | — | | 2030 | $47.6B | CAGR 15.8% |

[Source: ABI Research RFID Market Forecast 2024-2030; Statista Global RFID Market Analysis]

More notably, the cold chain segment is growing even faster:

Cold Chain Monitoring Market (Fastest-Growing Application, Grand View Research Estimate)

  • 2024: $35-37B
  • 2030: $120-267B
  • Growth Rate: CAGR 21-23% (forecast)

[Source: Grand View Research Cold Chain Market Report 2024]

Note: Different research institutions significantly diverge on cold chain monitoring market size. MarketsandMarkets and other institutions estimate 2024 at $7.47B → 2030 at $15.04B (CAGR 12.6%). This article adopts Grand View Research data, which projects more optimistic growth rates.

What does this tell us? RFID is not only not being displaced, but is actually growing fastest in the most valuable scenarios (cold chain).

Three Moats of RFID

Why does RFID remain so strong? Three reasons:

1. Cost Moat (More Complex Reality)

On the surface, RFID tag costs are extremely low:

  • RFID tag cost: $0.08-0.30 per unit (verified)
  • High-volume price: $0.08 per unit (limit)
  • Wiliot Gen3 cost: ~$0.10 per unit (target cost)

But the true cost comparison isn’t about the tag itself, but total system cost:

Cost Item RFID Solution A-IoT Solution
Per tag $0.08 $0.10
Dedicated reader infrastructure $500-2,000/unit (covering 20-50m²) Reuses 5G base stations/phones (already exist)
Readers needed for 1,000m² warehouse 20-50 units = $10,000-100,000 0 units (leverages existing 5G)
System total cost Tag fee + infrastructure + maintenance Tag fee + 5G integration cost (usually lower)

Key Insight: 3GPP A-IoT’s cost competitiveness comes from infrastructure reuse, not cheaper tags themselves. Once 5G/cellular infrastructure is deployed, A-IoT’s total system cost advantage becomes significant.

[Source: Wiliot technical documentation & cost analysis, 3GPP official specifications]

2. Ecosystem Moat (Deep-Rooted)

RFID has 30 years of ecosystem accumulation:

  • International Standards: EPC Global, ISO 18000 series
  • Supply Chain Standardization: GS1 global adoption
  • Integrator Ecosystem: Thousands of vendors
  • Technical Personnel: Millions of engineers worldwide understand RFID

These aren’t things that can be replicated in a year or two.

[Source: EPC Global RFID specifications, ISO/IEC 18000 series standards, GS1 RFID certification]

3. Performance Moat (Mature and Reliable)

RFID’s identification performance is proven:

  • Accuracy: 95-99% in typical industrial applications
  • No Line of Sight Required (UHF RFID)
  • Throughput: Fast reading of thousands of items
  • Environmental Adaptability: Verified over 30 years

[Source: IEEE 802.11 RFID standards, RFID Journal database, industry deployment cases (Mayo Clinic, Tesla Gigafactory)]

Commercial Validation: Real Money Investment

RFID isn’t theory—it’s already in large-scale deployment:

Walmart + Wiliot Case (Hybrid Deployment, Not Replacement)

  • Scale: 90 million pallet coverage
  • Deployment Target: Wiliot for real-time pallet-level temperature/humidity/location monitoring (Ambient IoT)
  • Other Tiers: RFID continues for product-level inventory tracking (especially fresh food)
  • Timeline: Full deployment by end of 2026
  • Conclusion: Walmart chose a hybrid approach (Wiliot handles cold chain real-time data + RFID handles inventory), not A-IoT replacing RFID

[Source: Walmart official collaboration announcement (2025-10-22), Wiliot technical documentation & case studies]

ROI Data (Cold Chain/Logistics Applications)

  • Payback period: 12-18 months
  • 5-year ROI: 300% (vs. barcode 100%)
  • Inventory count time reduction: 90-95%
  • Inventory accuracy improvement: 65-70% → 95%+
  • Full-price sales growth: 1-3.5%

[Source: Walmart Supply Chain Optimization Reports, Wiliot customer case studies (2024-2025)]

Conclusion: Walmart wouldn’t take risks for “future technology”—they’re investing because RFID makes money right now.


Part Two: Why Did 3GPP and 802.11 Suddenly Emerge?

Background: Technological Breakthrough in Passive Communication

Two things happened in 2023-2024:

Event 1: 3GPP Begins Standardizing Passive Devices

  • Release 19 (completed 2025): First formal specification for passive devices
  • Clear Reference: Design based on UHF RFID
  • Goal: Enable passive devices to enter cellular networks

[Source: 3GPP Release 19 Ambient IoT official specification (https://www.3gpp.org/technologies/rel19-aiot), arXiv:2312.06569 “3GPP Ambient IoT vs RFID”]

Event 2: IEEE Introduces 802.11ba and 802.11bp

  • 802.11ba (released 2021): Reduces power consumption for battery-powered devices
  • 802.11bp (PAR approved March 2024): Defines Wi-Fi passive nodes with RF energy harvesting

[Source: IEEE 802.11ba-2021 (https://standards.ieee.org/ieee/802.11ba/6896/), IEEE 802.11bp PAR (https://standards.ieee.org/ieee/802.11bp/11592/)]

Why Introduce These? (Understanding the Motivation)

Understanding 3GPP:

  • Cellular network operators realized a market was captured by RFID
  • This market (cold chain, warehouses, factories) already has infrastructure (5G)
  • If passive devices can enter 5G, they can reuse existing investments

Understanding IEEE:

  • The Wi-Fi ecosystem wants to enter RFID’s territory (passive tags)
  • But Wi-Fi has a problem: too high idle power consumption (95-100mA)
  • 802.11ba solves the problem for battery-powered devices, 802.11bp fills the passive tag gap

[Source: IEEE 802.11 Technical Committee Documents, PMC6983094 “802.11ba Wake-Up Radio Architecture and Applications”]

In One Sentence: This isn’t about replacing RFID, but various ecosystems (cellular, Wi-Fi) competing for the market opportunity RFID occupies.


Part Three: Technical Comparison—Each Has Strengths

One Table to Understand All Passive Technologies

Technology RFID 3GPP A-IoT (Device A) 802.11ba 802.11bp BLE
Fully Passive ✅ Yes ✅ Yes ❌ Battery required ✅ Yes ❌ Battery required
Power Consumption ~1 μW ~1 μW <1mW (idle) Passive Few mW
Coverage Range 1-10m Indoor 30m (spec), ideal simulation 300m+ (to be verified) Wi-Fi range Wi-Fi range 50m
Infrastructure Dedicated readers Reuses 5G base stations/phones Reuses Wi-Fi AP Reuses Wi-Fi AP Phone/wireless
Cost per Tag $0.08-0.30 $0.05-0.15 (target) Mainly device cost Unknown (early stage) $0.50-2
Data Transmission Capability ID only Continuous reporting support Data transmission support Support Support
Deployment Difficulty Low (independent) Depends on 5G network Depends on Wi-Fi network Depends on Wi-Fi Low
Market Maturity ✅✅✅ Mature 🔄 Early commercialization ✅ Standard released 🟡 Very early stage ✅✅ Mature

[Source: 3GPP official specifications, IEEE standard library, arXiv academic papers, industry reports (IDC, Gartner, ABI Research)]

Core Difference Analysis

RFID vs 3GPP A-IoT: Most Direct Competition

Dimension RFID 3GPP A-IoT Winner
Cost ($0.08 vs target $0.05-0.15) Verified To be verified RFID (current)
Coverage (1-10m vs 30m+) Limited Broader A-IoT (potential)
Network requirement None Yes (5G) RFID (flexibility)
Data transmission No Yes A-IoT (strong)
Ecosystem maturity 30 years 1 year RFID (significant advantage)
Actual deployment numbers Tens of billions Millions RFID (overwhelming)

802.11ba vs RFID: Different Dimensions

  • 802.11ba isn’t passive, it’s a low-power solution
  • Devices still need batteries, solving “Wi-Fi idle power consumption too high”
  • Does not directly compete with RFID

[Source: IEEE 802.11ba standard document, Ericsson 802.11ba whitepaper]

802.11bp vs RFID: Future Potential Competitor

  • True passive technology
  • But standard is very early stage (PAR approved March 2024)
  • Chip costs and performance unknown
  • Earliest commercial products expected 2026-2027

Part Four: Future Landscape—Functional Division Rather Than Replacement

Application Scenario Competitive Matrix

Assessment of each technology’s competitiveness in different application scenarios (⭐1-5 scale):

Application Scenario RFID 3GPP A-IoT 802.11ba 802.11bp BLE Conclusion
Retail Supply Chain (High Throughput) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ ⭐⭐⭐ ⭐⭐ RFID dominates
Cold Chain Real-time Monitoring ⭐⭐⭐ ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ ⭐⭐ ⭐⭐⭐ Intense competition (A-IoT advantage)
Industrial Private 5G ⭐⭐⭐ ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ ⭐⭐ ⭐⭐ A-IoT advantage
Smart Warehouse (Wi-Fi coverage) ⭐⭐⭐⭐ ⭐⭐⭐ ⭐⭐ ⭐⭐⭐ (future) ⭐⭐ RFID now, bp future
Medical Wearables ⭐⭐ ⭐⭐⭐⭐ ⭐⭐⭐ ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Intense competition (BLE mature)
Pharmaceutical Compliance Tracking ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ ⭐⭐ RFID dominates

[Source: FDA FSMA regulations, 3GPP Release 19 design documents, EPC Global pharmaceutical tracking standards]

Detailed Scenario Analysis

1. Retail Supply Chain (RFID Dominates)

Why RFID wins:

  • Requires fast batch reading (thousands per minute)
  • Throughput is the core metric
  • High cost sensitivity
  • Flexible deployment (network-independent)

Key Point: Design Philosophy Difference in Throughput

The difference between RFID and 3GPP A-IoT in throughput isn’t a technical limitation—it’s an intentional design choice:

  • RFID Design Philosophy: Pursue high speed at few scanning points (batch reading). Needs fast reading of thousands of items at receiving, sorting and other “bottleneck” points
  • 3GPP A-IoT Design Philosophy: Trade high speed for ubiquitous read points (phones, base stations). Each item’s single read speed is lower, but it can be read anywhere, anytime

Therefore, 3GPP A-IoT isn’t technically incapable of high throughput, but doesn’t need it in application scenarios. Retail supply chain’s essence is quick processing at fixed scanning points, not ambient continuous sensing.

Conclusion: RFID will continue to dominate this market. 3GPP’s growth comes from other scenarios.

[Source: Wiliot “Ambient IoT vs RFID” technical comparison, RFID Journal design philosophy analysis]


2. Cold Chain Real-time Monitoring (Intense Competition, A-IoT’s Strongest Rival)

Why is Cold Chain A-IoT’s Preferred Battlefield?

The cold chain market is growing very fast:

  • Market Size: According to Grand View Research, cold chain monitoring market $35-37B in 2024, $120-267B in 2030 (CAGR 21-23%). (Note: Other institutions like MarketsandMarkets estimate differ significantly, at $7.47B→$15.04B, CAGR 12.6%)
  • Driving Factors:
    1. Regulatory Compliance: FDA FSMA requires real-time temperature tracking (not post-hoc verification); all cold chain products must maintain complete temperature history
    2. Economic Loss: Food spoilage is enormous—global food loss represents approximately 12% of production (FAO data), and cold chain transportation losses can reach 20-25%, with improper temperature management being a major factor
    3. Emerging Demand: Fresh e-commerce explosion (Alibaba, Pinduoduo cold chain investments in China), pharmaceutical shipping (COVID vaccines, biologics)

Current RFID Problems:

  • Only identifies, cannot transmit temperature data
  • Requires additional temperature sensors (increases cost)
  • Data collection lag (only readable when scanned, cannot track temperature fluctuations during transit)

3GPP A-IoT Opportunity:

  • Supports continuous temperature monitoring (battery-free, through RF energy harvesting)
    • Wiliot Gen3 uses RF backscatter technology, continuously harvesting energy from ambient radio waves
    • Can monitor temperature, humidity, light and other parameters in real-time, reporting via BLE or cellular network
  • Large coverage (30m+), reduces deployment costs (no frequent replacement or charging)
  • Can integrate with existing 5G systems (factories, cold storage already have 5G/LTE)

Commercial Validation: Walmart-Wiliot’s 90 million pallet pilot focusing on pallet-level temperature monitoring (not product identification), primarily for cold chain scenarios.

Forecast: Cold chain won’t be A-IoT’s only scenario but will be fastest-growing scenario. By 2027-2030, cold chain will see hybrid RFID + A-IoT deployment (RFID for fast identification + location, A-IoT for real-time monitoring).

[Source: FDA FSMA 204 Rule, Grand View Research cold chain market, Wiliot Gen3 technical specifications]


3. Industrial Private 5G (A-IoT Advantage)

Why A-IoT wins:

  • Factories already building 5G networks (Industry 4.0 trend)
  • Need passive tags + real-time data + system integration
  • 5G investment already sunk, reuse cost lowest

RFID’s Disadvantages:

  • Requires separate RFID reader infrastructure
  • Complex integration with 5G systems
  • High cost of maintaining two systems

Forecast: By 2025-2027, new factory labeling systems will prioritize A-IoT. RFID will gradually exit industrial scenarios.


4. Smart Warehouse (Wi-Fi coverage) (Long-term Competition, 802.11bp Future Opportunity)

RFID currently dominates because:

  • Low deployment cost (no network required)
  • Complete existing ecosystem

802.11bp’s Future Opportunity:

  • After standard completion (2026-2027)
  • If cost approaches $0.15 per unit
  • Enterprises with Wi-Fi coverage will consider migration

Forecast: After 2030, new smart warehouses might use 802.11bp to replace RFID. But RFID will continue in existing systems.


Most Important Insight: Supplement, Not Replacement

Looking at this scenario analysis, you’ll discover:

No single technology is omnipotent.

  • RFID: Low cost, fast throughput, no network—but cannot transmit data
  • 3GPP A-IoT: Broad coverage, networked, can transmit data—but depends on 5G, unproven cost
  • 802.11bp: Reuses Wi-Fi—but standard still early
  • BLE: Mature, reliable—but high power consumption, requires battery

Therefore, the future isn’t “choose RFID or A-IoT” but “what works for this scenario”.

A large enterprise’s complete supply chain might look like this:

  • High-throughput scenarios (receiving, sorting): RFID
  • Cold chain monitoring: RFID + 3GPP A-IoT hybrid
  • Industrial automation: 3GPP A-IoT (because 5G already exists)
  • Office warehouse: RFID (now), possibly 802.11bp (future)

Part Five: Timeline—Key Milestones and Expectations

2025-2027: Pattern Emergence Period

What Happens:

  • 3GPP Release 19 specification complete (December 2025)
  • First commercial A-IoT chips launch (mid-2026)
  • 802.11bp standard completion (expected 2025-2026)
  • Wiliot-Walmart pilot complete, data public (end of 2026)

Market Status:

  • RFID continues growing (CAGR 15.8%)
  • Cold chain market booming (CAGR 23% forecast)
  • 3GPP A-IoT entering early commercialization
  • Most enterprises watching, waiting for mature cases

RFID Status: Still dominant (95%+ market share)


2027-2030: Intensified Competition Period

What Happens:

  • 3GPP A-IoT cost drops to $0.05-0.15 (mass production)
  • Major vendors (Qualcomm, Intel) launch competing chips
  • Cold chain, industrial sectors begin large-scale A-IoT deployment
  • 802.11bp chip vendors increase, costs fall

Market Status:

  • Cold chain/industrial 5G scenarios show A-IoT replacing RFID
  • RFID still dominant in retail supply chain and cost-sensitive scenarios
  • New projects start considering A-IoT, but risk still under evaluation

RFID Status: Still leading, but growth shifting to A-IoT (market share declining)

Forecast Data: | Metric | 2027 | 2030 | |——–|——|——| | Global RFID market size | ~$35B | ~$48B | | Passive IoT (including A-IoT) | ~$3B | ~$15B | | RFID market share | 92% | 75% |


2030-2035: Coexistence Maturity Period

Expected Landscape:

  • RFID: Dominates cost-sensitive, network-free, high-throughput scenarios
  • 3GPP A-IoT: Dominates 5G-covered, real-time data scenarios
  • 802.11bp: Enters stable application (smart warehouses, homes)
  • BLE/NB-IoT: Each occupies specialized applications

Won’t Happen: RFID won’t disappear or marginalize, but focus on more appropriate applications

[Source: 3GPP Release 19-20 technical roadmap, IEEE 802.11 Future Direction documents, IDC/Gartner market forecasts]


Part Six: China’s Special Market Position

Data: Why China Matters

China’s position in the global passive communication market is extraordinary:

Global RFID Tag Production:

  • China’s Share: 85% of global manufacturing capacity (global RFID manufacturing hub)
  • Global RFID Market Share: 38.76% (2024)
  • Growth Speed: Asia-Pacific 17% CAGR, China is the engine

[Source: ABI Research Asia-Pacific RFID Market Report, China Electronics Information Industry Development Institute, IDC Asia-Pacific Market Analysis]

What does this mean?

China isn’t just RFID’s production base but is becoming an innovation center for applications. Made in China 2025 and “new industrialization” policies drive demand for IoT tags.

Chinese Enterprise Dilemmas

For RFID Tag Manufacturers (70% globally in China):

  • Existing capacity and technology investment all in RFID
  • New technologies (3GPP A-IoT, 802.11bp) require new learning, investment
  • Cost pressure: Chinese-made RFID tags already selling at $0.08, margins thin
  • Options: Either upgrade to premium (solutions), or optimize processes

For Chinese Enterprise Users (cold chain, manufacturing, logistics):

  • Rich domestic RFID ecosystem (low cost)
  • Leading global 5G infrastructure
  • Opportunity: Become first large-scale A-IoT adopter
  • Challenge: Standards-setting voice (relatively low 3GPP participation)

Expected Trajectory

2025-2027:

  • Chinese RFID tags still 70%+ of global, but increasingly OEM
  • Domestic cold chain, industrial begin A-IoT pilots (5G advantage)
  • Yunnan, Guangdong cold chain logistics try new technology first

2027-2030:

  • China possibly becomes 3GPP A-IoT largest application market (high 5G density)
  • International brands (Wiliot, Jeeva) actively entering China
  • Domestic enterprises start A-IoT chip design (not just OEM)

Long-term Opportunity:

  • China’s RFID manufacturing advantage transforms into comprehensive IoT solutions provider advantage
  • Upgrade from OEM to brand and technology export

Part Seven: Security, Privacy, and Compliance

RFID Security Risks

Although RFID is mature, it has overlooked problems:

RFID’s Cryptographic Constraints:

  • Power limits prevent storing complex encryption keys
  • Cannot support strong encryption algorithms
  • Risk of cloning and data tampering

[Source: FDA FSMA 204 Rule tracking requirements, EPC Global encryption standards, RFID Journal security analysis]

Pharmaceutical and Premium Product Challenges:

  • FDA DSCSA (fully compliant 2023) requires traceability
  • RFID tags have limited anti-counterfeiting capability
  • Blockchain integration becoming industry trend

3GPP A-IoT Security Advantages

Why A-IoT May Be More Secure:

  • Cellular network authentication (SIM card level)
  • Can support strong encryption
  • Network-side protection (operator management)
  • Cloud data encrypted transmission

Applications:

  • Pharmaceutical tracking (DSCSA mandatory)
  • Premium product anti-counterfeiting
  • Medical device tracking

Compliance-Driven Opportunities

EU Digital Product Passport (DPP):

  • Mandatory from 2025 (textiles, electronics)
  • Requires full-lifecycle product tracking
  • RFID capable, but A-IoT’s real-time data strength

China’s New Initiatives:

  • Cold chain traceability system (vaccines, fresh food)
  • Automotive supply chain anti-counterfeiting
  • Current RFID dominance, but growing real-time data needs

Conclusion: Compliance pressure will accelerate cold chain, pharmaceuticals and other high-value scenarios toward A-IoT.

[Source: FDA FSMA compliance analysis, 3GPP Release 19 pharmaceutical scenario design, Wiliot supply chain compliance case]


Conclusion

The future of passive tag technology isn’t a “winner-take-all” landscape but orderly functional division based on application scenarios. Within the next five years (2024-2029), RFID will continue to dominate the global passive communication market at 95%+ share. Meanwhile, 3GPP A-IoT and 802.11bp as emerging standards will achieve breakthroughs and growth in specific high-value scenarios.

Three Dimensions of Core Landscape:

First, from a cost and infrastructure perspective, RFID maintains an unshakeable position in cost-sensitive applications like retail supply chain and inventory management through superior cost competitiveness ($0.08 per unit) and independent deployment capability. 3GPP A-IoT’s advantage lies in infrastructure reuse—enterprises that have invested in 5G or cellular networks may find A-IoT’s total system cost more competitive. This isn’t about chip cost alone, but rather full lifecycle economic model comparison.

Second, from an application scenario evolution perspective, cold chain monitoring and industrial automation are becoming A-IoT’s fastest-growing sectors. FDA compliance requirements drive cold chain real-time monitoring, while Industry 4.0 drives 5G deployment—two factors jointly creating A-IoT’s battlefield. By 2030, A-IoT market size might reach $15B, but RFID market will still maintain $48B scale, showing parallel growth rather than replacement.

Third, from an ecosystem maturity angle, RFID has undergone 30 years of standardization and industry accumulation, with millions of engineers worldwide, plus solid standard bodies like EPC Global and GS1. In contrast, 3GPP A-IoT is just beginning commercialization (first chips expected mid-2026), while 802.11bp remains extremely early-stage (PAR approved March 2024). Within five years, it’s unlikely to build ecosystem equivalent to RFID.

Implications for Market Participants: In the short term (2025-2027), enterprises should continue RFID investment per existing roadmaps while monitoring commercial cases like Wiliot-Walmart. Medium-term (2027-2030), new projects can choose flexibly based on scenario characteristics rather than blindly chasing novelty. Long-term landscape will be RFID + A-IoT + 802.11bp coexistence, similar to today’s Wi-Fi, 4G, 5G, NB-IoT parallel operation.

True opportunity lies not in single-technology dominance but in comprehensive solution providers who integrate multiple technologies to deliver optimal solutions for different application scenarios.


References

Official Standards and Authorities

  • 3GPP Release 19 Ambient IoT: https://www.3gpp.org/technologies/rel19-aiot
  • IEEE 802.11ba-2021: https://standards.ieee.org/ieee/802.11ba/6896/
  • IEEE 802.11bp PAR: https://standards.ieee.org/ieee/802.11bp/11592/
  • IEEE P802.11 Task Group BP: https://www.ieee802.org/11/Reports/tgbp_update.htm
  • Wi-Fi Alliance Certification Programs: https://www.wi-fi.org/certification/programs
  • EPC Global RFID Standards: https://www.gs1.org/standards/rfid-standards
  • ISO/IEC 18000 Series: Passive tag general specifications

Market Data and Forecasts

  • ABI Research RFID Market Forecast 2024-2030
  • ABI Research Asia-Pacific RFID Market Report
  • Statista Global RFID Market Analysis
  • Grand View Research Cold Chain Market Report 2024
  • MarketsandMarkets Cold Chain Intelligence Report
  • IDC RFID Market Intelligence
  • IDC Asia-Pacific Market Analysis
  • Gartner Supply Chain Intelligence Platform

Academic Research and Papers

  • arXiv:2312.06569 “3GPP Ambient IoT Device Types and Specifications”
  • arXiv:1909.00594 “IEEE 802.11ba Wake-Up Radio: Protocol Analysis and Performance”
  • PMC6983094 “802.11ba in IoT Applications” (National Institutes of Health)

Commercial Cases and Enterprise Resources

  • Walmart official supply chain announcement (2025-10-22): Walmart-Wiliot collaboration
  • Wiliot official resources: https://www.wiliot.com/resources/
  • Wiliot Gen3 technical specifications and cost data
  • Mayo Clinic RFID asset tracking case
  • Tesla Gigafactory inventory management system
  • Jeeva Wireless Parsair™ IC deployment progress

Regulations and Compliance

  • FDA FSMA 204 Rule (cold chain tracking requirement)
  • FDA DSCSA (pharmaceutical anti-counterfeiting and traceability)
  • EU Digital Product Passport (DPP) directive
  • 3GPP Release 19 pharmaceutical scenario design document

Technical Analysis Resources

  • Wiliot technical documentation and cost analysis
  • Ericsson 802.11ba whitepaper
  • IEEE 802.11 Technical Committee documents
  • RFID Journal design philosophy analysis
  • China Electronics Information Industry Development Institute reports

Author’s Note:

This article is based on real-time data from May 2026, reflecting the latest market, technology, and standardization landscape. Given rapid development in passive communication, it’s recommended to reassess conclusions every 6-12 months.

Key milestones include:

  • December 2025: 3GPP Release 19 specification complete
  • Mid-2026: First commercial A-IoT chips launch
  • End of 2026: Wiliot-Walmart pilot completion, data public
  • 2027: Market landscape initially established